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August 1, 2022

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Growing financial risks favour small and mid-sized global companies

August 2022

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Global equities boutique manager Bell Asset Management sees rising geopolitical and macroeconomic risks ahead and expects small and mid-sized quality companies with an international focus to offer the best value in the current market.

According to Ned Bell, Chief Investment Officer, Bell Asset Management (BAM), China’s sharp growth slowdown will impact the global economy, especially emerging markets, while there are growing risks the world’s central banks could hike interest rates too sharply in the battle against rising inflation.

“The global macroeconomic environment is changing dramatically, with economic growth slowing pretty quickly. And for the first time ever that slowdown is being led by China,” said Mr Bell.

“What also worries us is to what extent central banks will be able to get on the right side of managing the inflation surge. The big risk is they do too much as the economy slows,” he added.

Taking a more positive perspective, Mr Bell said the uncertain outlook was likely to bring plenty of buying opportunities for actively managed fund managers like BAM.

“As much as there are a lot of things to be worried about in the current market, these risks bring opportunities to the table,” Mr Bell said.

BAM’s investment approach focuses on companies that meet a high quality threshold, which includes financial strength, consistent profitability as well as a strong focus on Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) factors. The asset manager then looks to identify mispriced companies within this sector or those stocks that display a disconnect between quality and current value.

Switch to global small and mid-cap companies

As a result of the changing macroeconomic environment, Mr Bell said the Bell Global Equities Fund had cut its weighting in large global companies and increased its allocation to smaller and mid-sized (SMID) firms as they offer more attractive valuations.

“We’ve got 42% (of the fund’s assets) in the SMID area. At the same time, we’re probably the most underweight in mega caps that we have ever been,” Mr Bell said. The benchmark MSCI World SMID Cap Index currently has a forward price/earnings (p/e) ratio of 15 times, compared to 24 times for the MSCI World Large Cap Growth Index.

Mr Bell noted that the Global SMID cap p/e ratio currently stood at a significant discount to the MSCI World Large Cap Growth Index and traded at a discount to the main MSCI World Index compared to an average premium of 12% over the past 10 years.

The COVID pandemic has given many global SMID companies a further boost with many forced to cut costs sharply.

Mr Bell explained, “They had no choice. They cut so much cost out of their businesses that the actual earnings for the SMID asset class is 70% higher this calendar year than the pre-COVID level in 2019. As a result, they are able to absorb what is happening now more than they otherwise would have been able to."

ESG integrated into investment process

Adrian Martuccio, Co-portfolio manager at BAM, said the fund manager’s focus on “quality” stocks and an integrated approach to ESG has led to a significantly lower carbon intensity for their Funds.

“Fundamentally we believe that if you have a portfolio with great ESG characteristics as well as meeting other quality metrics, then it’s going to help you outperform. There is a very tight correlation between quality companies and good ESG outcomes,” Mr Martuccio said.

“We believe having a quality bias does help because it means you generally steer clear of many of utility stocks and other stocks that aren’t environmentally friendly, but you really have to have some positive selection and active portfolio construction to get a carbon intensity level as low as BAM’s,” he added.

The Bell Global Equities Fund and the Bell Global Emerging Companies Fund have ESG scores consistently above the MSCI World Index and the MSCI World SMID Cap Index and a significantly lower carbon intensity.

Fund performance recovers

Looking at the performance of BAM’s funds, the Bell Global Equities Fund (Platform Class) has posted a 3% return in the three months to the end of July 2022, compared with a 0.6% rise in the MSCI World ex Australia Index over the same period.

The Bell Global Emerging Companies Fund, which pursues a global SMID strategy, was up 2.8% in the three months to the end of July 2022 compared with a decline of 0.6% in the MSCI World SMID Cap Index.

The Bell Global Sustainable Fund (Unhedged Class) saw a gain of 2.84% in the three months to July 2022 against a 0.62% gain in the MSCI World Ex Australia (Unhedged) with net dividends reinvested Index.

For media enquiries, please contact:

Louise Priddle
Honner
BAM@honner.com.au or 0458 751 023

 

About Bell Asset Management

Bell Asset Management is a leading Australian boutique investment manager specialising in global equities. The Melbourne based investment team have been managing global equities on behalf of clients since January 2003 and have a long track record of investing in global companies across all market cycles.

Important information:

Bell Asset Management Limited (BAM) ABN 84 092 278 647, AFSL 231091 is the responsible entity for the Bell Global Equities Fund (ARSN 096 281 300), Bell Global Sustainable Fund (ARSN 654 737 167) and the Bell Global Emerging Companies Fund (ARSN 160 079 541) (the Funds). This presentation has been prepared by BAM for information purposes only and does not take into consideration the investment objectives, financial circumstances or needs of any particular recipient – it contains general information only. Before making any decision in relation to the Fund, you should consider your needs and objectives, consult with a licensed financial adviser and obtain a copy of the product disclosure statement, which is available by calling (03) 9616 8619 or visiting www.bellasset.com.au. BAM has issued a Target Market Determination (TMD) for each Fund discussed in this presentation and each Fund’s TMD is available at www.bellasset.com.au

No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reasonableness of any assumption contained in this presentation. To the maximum extent permitted by law, none of BAM and its directors, employees or agents accepts any liability for any loss arising, including from negligence, from the use of this document or its contents. This document shall not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or advice in relation to any securities within or of units in any investment fund or other investment product described herein. Any such offer shall only be made pursuant to an appropriate offer document. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of expected future performance.

Global equities boutique manager Bell Asset Management sees rising geopolitical and macroeconomic risks ahead and expects small and mid-sized quality companies with an international focus to offer the best value in the current market.

According to Ned Bell, Chief Investment Officer, Bell Asset Management (BAM), China’s sharp growth slowdown will impact the global economy, especially emerging markets, while there are growing risks the world’s central banks could hike interest rates too sharply in the battle against rising inflation.

“The global macroeconomic environment is changing dramatically, with economic growth slowing pretty quickly. And for the first time ever that slowdown is being led by China,” said Mr Bell.

“What also worries us is to what extent central banks will be able to get on the right side of managing the inflation surge. The big risk is they do too much as the economy slows,” he added.

Taking a more positive perspective, Mr Bell said the uncertain outlook was likely to bring plenty of buying opportunities for actively managed fund managers like BAM.

“As much as there are a lot of things to be worried about in the current market, these risks bring opportunities to the table,” Mr Bell said.

BAM’s investment approach focuses on companies that meet a high quality threshold, which includes financial strength, consistent profitability as well as a strong focus on Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) factors. The asset manager then looks to identify mispriced companies within this sector or those stocks that display a disconnect between quality and current value.

Switch to global small and mid-cap companies

As a result of the changing macroeconomic environment, Mr Bell said the Bell Global Equities Fund had cut its weighting in large global companies and increased its allocation to smaller and mid-sized (SMID) firms as they offer more attractive valuations.

“We’ve got 42% (of the fund’s assets) in the SMID area. At the same time, we’re probably the most underweight in mega caps that we have ever been,” Mr Bell said. The benchmark MSCI World SMID Cap Index currently has a forward price/earnings (p/e) ratio of 15 times, compared to 24 times for the MSCI World Large Cap Growth Index.

Mr Bell noted that the Global SMID cap p/e ratio currently stood at a significant discount to the MSCI World Large Cap Growth Index and traded at a discount to the main MSCI World Index compared to an average premium of 12% over the past 10 years.

The COVID pandemic has given many global SMID companies a further boost with many forced to cut costs sharply.

Mr Bell explained, “They had no choice. They cut so much cost out of their businesses that the actual earnings for the SMID asset class is 70% higher this calendar year than the pre-COVID level in 2019. As a result, they are able to absorb what is happening now more than they otherwise would have been able to."

ESG integrated into investment process

Adrian Martuccio, Co-portfolio manager at BAM, said the fund manager’s focus on “quality” stocks and an integrated approach to ESG has led to a significantly lower carbon intensity for their Funds.

“Fundamentally we believe that if you have a portfolio with great ESG characteristics as well as meeting other quality metrics, then it’s going to help you outperform. There is a very tight correlation between quality companies and good ESG outcomes,” Mr Martuccio said.

“We believe having a quality bias does help because it means you generally steer clear of many of utility stocks and other stocks that aren’t environmentally friendly, but you really have to have some positive selection and active portfolio construction to get a carbon intensity level as low as BAM’s,” he added.

The Bell Global Equities Fund and the Bell Global Emerging Companies Fund have ESG scores consistently above the MSCI World Index and the MSCI World SMID Cap Index and a significantly lower carbon intensity.

Fund performance recovers

Looking at the performance of BAM’s funds, the Bell Global Equities Fund (Platform Class) has posted a 3% return in the three months to the end of July 2022, compared with a 0.6% rise in the MSCI World ex Australia Index over the same period.

The Bell Global Emerging Companies Fund, which pursues a global SMID strategy, was up 2.8% in the three months to the end of July 2022 compared with a decline of 0.6% in the MSCI World SMID Cap Index.

The Bell Global Sustainable Fund (Unhedged Class) saw a gain of 2.84% in the three months to July 2022 against a 0.62% gain in the MSCI World Ex Australia (Unhedged) with net dividends reinvested Index.

For media enquiries, please contact:

Louise Priddle
Honner
BAM@honner.com.au or 0458 751 023

 

About Bell Asset Management

Bell Asset Management is a leading Australian boutique investment manager specialising in global equities. The Melbourne based investment team have been managing global equities on behalf of clients since January 2003 and have a long track record of investing in global companies across all market cycles.

Important information:

Bell Asset Management Limited (BAM) ABN 84 092 278 647, AFSL 231091 is the responsible entity for the Bell Global Equities Fund (ARSN 096 281 300), Bell Global Sustainable Fund (ARSN 654 737 167) and the Bell Global Emerging Companies Fund (ARSN 160 079 541) (the Funds). This presentation has been prepared by BAM for information purposes only and does not take into consideration the investment objectives, financial circumstances or needs of any particular recipient – it contains general information only. Before making any decision in relation to the Fund, you should consider your needs and objectives, consult with a licensed financial adviser and obtain a copy of the product disclosure statement, which is available by calling (03) 9616 8619 or visiting www.bellasset.com.au. BAM has issued a Target Market Determination (TMD) for each Fund discussed in this presentation and each Fund’s TMD is available at www.bellasset.com.au

No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reasonableness of any assumption contained in this presentation. To the maximum extent permitted by law, none of BAM and its directors, employees or agents accepts any liability for any loss arising, including from negligence, from the use of this document or its contents. This document shall not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or advice in relation to any securities within or of units in any investment fund or other investment product described herein. Any such offer shall only be made pursuant to an appropriate offer document. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of expected future performance.